11.10.2022

Metastudy hydrogen demand in Germany: Data annex

Hydrogen plays a key role in the deep decarbonization of energy systems. In our study presented at the “21st Wind & Solar Integration Workshop” in the Hague, the demand for hydrogen and its derivatives in five major German energy system studies [1-5] and a total of nine scenarios is surveyed by a meta-study approach.

Special focus was set on the transition year 2030, which shows higher uncertainty in rank and size of sectoral demands than later transition years. In 2030 as well as 2045 the industry sector is generally seen as the most important sector with demand ranging from 12 to 66 TWh in 2030.

For other sectors, the rank and demand differ strongly in 2030 and show no correlation to the target electrification rate of the scenarios. This applies to the overall demand as well, ranging from 14 to 123 TWh in 2030. In general, uncertainty and heterogeneity are higher for demands in 2030 than in 2045.

Here we publish the data annex to the study containing the sectoral demand in the sectors Industry, Mobility, Buildings and Energy Conversion for hydrogen and its derivates in 2030 and 2045.

Literature

[1]  Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI and Consentec GmbH, „Langfristszenarien für die Transformation des Energiesystems in Deutschland 3“, Karlsruhe, 2021.

[2] G. Luderer, C. Kost and D. e. a. Sörgel, „Ariadne-Report – Deutschland auf dem Weg zur Klimaneutralität 2045: Szenarien und Pfade im Modellvergleich“, Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK), 2021.

[3] BCG, „Klimapfade 2.0 – Ein Wirtschaftsprogramm für Klima und Zukunft“, 2021. [Online]. Retrieved from: https://issuu.com/bdi-berlin/docs/211021_bdi_klimapfade_2.0_-_gesamtstudie_-_vorabve.

[4] Prognos, Öko-Institut und Wuppertal-Institut, „Klimaneutrales Deutschland 2045“, 2021.

[5] Deutsche Energie-Agentur GmbH (dena), Hg., „dena-Leitstudie Aufbruch Klimaneutralität“, Berlin, 2021.